The table shows S&P 500 total returns around the midterm election day since 1970.
Source: FactSet, Edward Jones. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Indexes are unmanaged, cannot be invested into directly and are not meant to depict an actual investment.
 The graph shows the change in House seats for the party holding the White House immediately following each midterm election. The president's party has lost seats in 18 of the last 20 midterm elections.
Source: The American Presidency Project, Edward Jones.
 The graph shows that since 1970 S&P 500 performance has been consistent regardless of whether the outcome of the midterm elections resulted in unified government, a split Congress, or divided government between the White House and Congress.
Source: FactSet, Edward Jones. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Indexes are unmanaged, cannot be invested into directly and are not meant to depict an actual investment.
 The chart compares the average S&P 500 performance during midterm election years since 1970 with 2026.
Source: FactSet, Edward Jones. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Indexes are unmanaged, cannot be invested into directly and are not meant to depict an actual investment.
 The graph shows the odds from prediction market Kalshi for the different congressional outcomes.
Source: Bloomberg, Edward Jones

Important Information:

This is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as specific investment advice. Investors should make investment decisions based on their unique investment objectives and financial situation. While the information is believed to be accurate, it is not guaranteed and is subject to change without notice. 
Investors should understand the risks involved in owning investments, including interest rate risk, credit risk and market risk. The value of investments fluctuates and investors can lose some or all of their principal. 
Investing in equities involves the risk of loss. The value of an investors shares can fluctuate, and investors can lose money. Small-and mid-cap stocks tend to be more volatile than large company stocks. 
Past performance does not guarantee future results. 
Market indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly and are not meant to depict an actual investment. 
Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss in declining markets. 
Dividends may be increased, decreased or eliminated at any time without notice. 
Special risks are inherent in international investing, including those related to currency fluctuations and foreign political and economic events. 
Before investing in bonds, you should understand the risks involved, including credit risk and market risk. Bond investments are also subject to interest rate risk such that when interest rates rise, the prices of bonds can decrease, and the investor can lose principal value if the investment is sold prior to maturity.